Ball State
Ball State University · 2026 · Mid-American
Ball State is 1-1 and ranked 126th in overall efficiency. Their 99th-ranked defense carries them, with a 126th-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 132nd-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with an 117th-ranked rushing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Ohio State | Big Ten | #2 | L 3–56 | -43.7 | 0% | -12.5 | Q1 |
| 2 | vs Stony Brook | Coastal Athletic | — | W 41–17 | +21.4 | 100% | -11.0 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Liberty | Conference USA | #117 | Preview | -5.2 | 38% | — | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Kent State | Mid-American | #131 | Preview | -0.2 | 50% | — | Q4 |
| 5 | vs Toledo | Mid-American | #58 | Preview | -16.9 | 16% | — | Q3 |
| 6 | @ Northwestern | Big Ten | #50 | Preview | -24.4 | 8% | — | Q2 |
| 7 | @ Bowling Green | Mid-American | #138 | Preview | +8.0 | 68% | — | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Sacramento State | Mid-American | #135 | Preview | +8.7 | 70% | — | Q4 |
| 10 | @ Massachusetts | Mid-American | #121 | Preview | -4.0 | 41% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Buffalo | Mid-American | #130 | Preview | +5.2 | 62% | — | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Ohio | Mid-American | #98 | Preview | -11.9 | 24% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | vs Central Michigan | Mid-American | #128 | Preview | +4.2 | 60% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Ball State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 105th · Finishing 126th
Field position 40th · Finishing 106th
1.42 points per drive on offense, 2.92 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(27) | 63% / 37% | 41% | 5.5 |
| Q2(40) | 60% / 40% | 35% | 5.4 |
| Q3(25) | 64% / 36% | 12% | 1.6 |
| Q4(35) | 49% / 51% | 34% | 6.9 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(29) | 9.6 | 28% | 3.4 |
| 2nd(25) | 8.0 | 44% | 5.2 |
| 3rd(18) | 9.2 | 22% | 5.9 |
| 4th(2) | 5.0 | 50% | 10.5 |
| All (74) | — | 32% | 4.8 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(27) | 10.8 | 33% | 5.8 |
| 2nd(19) | 9.3 | 21% | 6.4 |
| 3rd(6) | 9.0 | 33% | 1.8 |
| 4th(1) | 2.0 | 100% | 2.0 |
| All (53) | — | 30% | 5.5 |
Ball State, all games.